Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Hischier 53.6% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 58.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 74.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 61.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Staal
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Staal
Hischier
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
3
Staal
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Staal
Hischier
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Hischier
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
52.4% (1,185)
-2.8%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
57.8% (315)
-22.8%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
57.1% (154)
-21.7%
On power play, Hischier has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Staal
Hischier
Home
46.1% (380)
53.4% (844)
Away
46.3% (363)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Staal
Hischier
P1
45.7%
49.7%
P2
46.2%
54.6%
P3
46.5%
56.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:33 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:39 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 11:27 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:51 | Neutral | Eric Staal |