Scouting Report
Noel Acciari holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Acciari shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Acciari 53.3% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Acciari 55.0%
Defensive zone
Acciari 50.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Staal
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Staal
Acciari
Last 6: Staal 3-3 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
Staal
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Acciari
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
54.5% (532)
-4.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
62.5% (8)
-27.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
48.8% (86)
-13.4%
On power play, Acciari has a +27.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Acciari is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (412).
Home / Away
Staal
Acciari
Home
46.1% (380)
56.2% (281)
Away
46.3% (363)
51.9% (345)
By Period
Staal
Acciari
P1
45.7%
53.4%
P2
46.2%
57.1%
P3
46.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2023 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Apr 10, 2023 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |