Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on defensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 46 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 101-61 in 162 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 91.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 97.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 96.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 94.9%
94.9%
5.1%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
61
-
101
(162 meetings)
61
101
Staal
Bergeron
Last 10: Staal 4-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
21
35
Staal
Bergeron
56 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
11
35
Staal
Bergeron
46 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
29
31
Staal
Bergeron
60 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
60.1% (13,938)
-9.6%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
60.8% (3,213)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
53.0% (2,776)
-8.8%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
52.6% (6,558)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
50.0%
59.3%
P2
51.1%
60.0%
P3
50.4%
58.6%
OT
55.2%
57.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 08:47 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 4, 2019 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Eric Staal |