Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 51.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 79.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 75.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 61.5%
61.5%
38.5%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Staal
Bergeron
Last 9: Staal 3-6 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
5
Staal
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
62.5% (1,109)
-12.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
62.2% (352)
-27.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
53.5% (245)
-18.1%
On power play, Bergeron has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
46.1% (380)
61.9% (917)
Away
46.3% (363)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
45.7%
60.8%
P2
46.2%
60.3%
P3
46.5%
63.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 06:55 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Dec 19, 2022 | 1 | 16:40 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 1 | 16:13 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |