Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Bergeron 57.3% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 80.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 73.0%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 77.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
Staal
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Staal
Bergeron
Last 8: Staal 5-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Bergeron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
2
Staal
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
59.9% (870)
-10.3%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
54.4% (272)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
53.3% (169)
-4.5%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Staal shoots left. Bergeron is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (920).
Home / Away
Staal
Bergeron
Home
52.0% (542)
57.8% (611)
Away
46.6% (457)
58.0% (700)
By Period
Staal
Bergeron
P1
44.2%
57.7%
P2
50.3%
57.6%
P3
52.9%
58.7%
OT
68.8%
52.4%
Final 5 min
47.2%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 06:54 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 12:56 | Offensive | Eric Staal |