Scouting Report
Pierre-Luc Dubois holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dubois shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Dubois 49.0% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dubois 78.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 76.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.2%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Staal
Dubois
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Staal
Dubois
Last 5: Staal 2-3 Dubois
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
2
Staal
Dubois
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Dubois
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dubois
0
1
Staal
Dubois
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dubois
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
48.7% (809)
+0.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
50.9% (163)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
37.5% (16)
-2.1%
On power play, Dubois has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dubois shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Dubois is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Home / Away
Staal
Dubois
Home
46.1% (380)
50.5% (497)
Away
46.3% (363)
47.3% (491)
By Period
Staal
Dubois
P1
45.7%
49.0%
P2
46.2%
48.2%
P3
46.5%
49.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Dubois
40.0%▼
50.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:03 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Pierre-Luc Dubois |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Pierre-Luc Dubois |