Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.8%). Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Suter 47.4% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 63.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.7%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Staal
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Staal
Suter
Last 5: Staal 2-3 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
3
Staal
Suter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Suter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
48.0% (421)
+1.6%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
50.0% (4)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
31.3% (32)
+4.1%
On power play, Suter has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Staal
Suter
Home
46.1% (380)
48.6% (183)
Away
46.3% (363)
45.6% (274)
By Period
Staal
Suter
P1
45.7%
47.1%
P2
46.2%
47.3%
P3
46.5%
46.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 13:27 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 13:54 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Defensive | Eric Staal |