Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Thomas 52.7% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 82.9%
Neutral zone
Staal 67.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Staal
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Staal
Thomas
Last 7: Staal 1-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Staal
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Thomas
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Staal
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
53.6% (924)
-4.0%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
55.2% (181)
-20.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
44.0% (116)
-8.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +20.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
Staal
Thomas
Home
46.1% (380)
53.6% (606)
Away
46.3% (363)
52.2% (615)
By Period
Staal
Thomas
P1
45.7%
48.2%
P2
46.2%
55.3%
P3
46.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |