Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 78.9%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 72.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Staal
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Staal
Carpenter
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
2
Staal
Carpenter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
1
3
Staal
Carpenter
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
49.6% (2,027)
+0.9%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
41.5% (41)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
43.9% (467)
+0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Staal
Carpenter
Home
52.6% (6,558)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Staal
Carpenter
P1
50.0%
49.6%
P2
51.1%
47.7%
P3
50.4%
48.0%
OT
55.2%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 14:24 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 2 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |