Scouting Report
Ryan Carpenter holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Carpenter 52.2% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone
Carpenter 65.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Staal
Carpenter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
53.1% (113)
-3.5%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
100.0% (1)
-65.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
60.0% (10)
-24.6%
On power play, Carpenter has a +65.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Carpenter is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Staal
Carpenter
Home
46.1% (380)
58.5% (65)
Away
46.3% (363)
49.2% (59)
By Period
Staal
Carpenter
P1
45.7%
65.8%
P2
46.2%
50.0%
P3
46.5%
47.9%
Final 5 min
47.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
54.0%