Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Carpenter 44.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 78.2%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 77.9%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 54.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Staal
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Staal
Carpenter
Last 7: Staal 3-4 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
0
Staal
Carpenter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
1
Staal
Carpenter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
0
3
Staal
Carpenter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
46.2% (474)
+3.4%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
28.6% (7)
+21.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
32.6% (129)
+16.2%
On power play, Staal has a +21.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Staal shoots left. Carpenter is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Staal
Carpenter
Home
52.0% (542)
46.5% (303)
Away
46.6% (457)
39.7% (307)
By Period
Staal
Carpenter
P1
44.2%
44.2%
P2
50.3%
40.4%
P3
52.9%
44.2%
OT
68.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.2%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 14:15 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 17:28 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 1 | 11:33 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |