Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Johansen 52.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 66.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Staal
Johansen
Last 5: Staal 1-4 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Staal
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Staal
Johansen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
Staal
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
53.4% (845)
-3.8%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
58.8% (102)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
44.7% (85)
+4.1%
On power play, Johansen has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (377).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
52.0% (542)
53.2% (479)
Away
46.6% (457)
53.2% (553)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
44.2%
53.8%
P2
50.3%
53.9%
P3
52.9%
52.0%
OT
68.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 3 | 06:58 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 24, 2019 | 1 | 07:31 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 3, 2019 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |