Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Johansen 58.2% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.3%
Defensive zone
Staal 90.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Staal
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Staal
Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Staal
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
1
Staal
Johansen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
59.8% (625)
-10.2%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
58.2% (196)
-23.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
51.9% (27)
-16.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +23.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Staal
Johansen
Home
46.1% (380)
60.3% (436)
Away
46.3% (363)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Staal
Johansen
P1
45.7%
61.3%
P2
46.2%
60.4%
P3
46.5%
56.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:47 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 12:17 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |