Eric Staal vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.8% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.3%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 52.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
2
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
45.4% (527)
+4.2%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
41.2% (17)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
44.9% (138)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Nugent-Hopkins has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.1% (380)
46.1% (336)
Away
46.3% (363)
44.2% (346)
By Period
Staal
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
45.7%
49.1%
P2
46.2%
45.3%
P3
46.5%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |