Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.2% vs O'Reilly 57.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 13-3 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 82.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 82.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 84.8%
84.8%
15.2%
Staal
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
13
(16 meetings)
3
13
Staal
O'Reilly
Last 10: Staal 1-9 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
5
Staal
O'Reilly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
5
Staal
O'Reilly
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
3
Staal
O'Reilly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (958)
57.9% (1,179)
-9.0%
Power Play
51.7% (145)
63.0% (292)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (71)
53.8% (320)
-5.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (714).
Staal shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,095).
Home / Away
Staal
O'Reilly
Home
49.6% (550)
61.3% (884)
Away
48.7% (624)
54.8% (907)
By Period
Staal
O'Reilly
P1
48.9%
55.5%
P2
47.5%
61.0%
P3
51.6%
56.8%
OT
45.5%
67.7%
Final 5 min
49.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
O'Reilly
56.0%▲
54.5%
58.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2016 | 3 | 10:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 03:25 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 01:19 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 2 | 01:01 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 16:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 06:44 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:42 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 03:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 27, 2016 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |