Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 77.6%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 77.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Staal
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Staal
Lafferty
Last 9: Staal 4-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Staal
Lafferty
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
3
Staal
Lafferty
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
48.0% (1,413)
+2.5%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
45.7% (46)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
43.5% (184)
+0.7%
On power play, Staal has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Lafferty is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,248).
Home / Away
Staal
Lafferty
Home
52.6% (6,558)
47.3% (833)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Staal
Lafferty
P1
50.0%
49.4%
P2
51.1%
43.1%
P3
50.4%
49.8%
OT
55.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 16:41 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 12, 2019 | 3 | 04:33 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |