Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Lafferty 50.9% (-4.9%)
Offensive zone
Lafferty 50.5%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 55.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Staal
Lafferty
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
52.2% (366)
-2.6%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
60.0% (15)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
46.2% (104)
-10.8%
On power play, Lafferty has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Staal
Lafferty
Home
46.1% (380)
53.1% (258)
Away
46.3% (363)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Staal
Lafferty
P1
45.7%
52.5%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
46.5%
51.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%