Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.1% vs Lafferty 51.2% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.3%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 51.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 58.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Staal
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Staal
Lafferty
Last 7: Staal 3-4 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
2
Staal
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Lafferty
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
2
Staal
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (485)
53.5% (101)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
25.0% (4)
-25.0%
On penalty kill, Lafferty has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Staal is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (209).
Staal shoots left. Lafferty is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Staal
Lafferty
Home
51.7% (265)
50.0% (62)
Away
46.5% (282)
55.8% (43)
By Period
Staal
Lafferty
P1
52.7%
70.0%
P2
48.3%
37.8%
P3
46.5%
52.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.0%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 01:27 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 19:10 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:22 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 12:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:26 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:13 | Offensive | Eric Staal |