Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Aho 51.2% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 57.9%
Defensive zone
Staal 54.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 54.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Staal
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
12
(26 meetings)
14
12
Staal
Aho
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
4
5
Staal
Aho
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
1
Staal
Aho
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
3
6
Staal
Aho
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
50.1% (6,619)
+0.4%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
58.9% (1,310)
-5.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
46.3% (464)
-2.1%
On power play, Aho has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Aho is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,305).
Home / Away
Staal
Aho
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.4% (4,308)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
50.1% (4,085)
By Period
Staal
Aho
P1
50.0%
51.1%
P2
51.1%
52.0%
P3
50.4%
50.7%
OT
55.2%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 18:00 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:31 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 09:09 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 06:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 23, 2019 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Eric Staal |