Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 49.6% vs Aho 46.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 57.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 70.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Staal
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Staal
Aho
Last 7: Staal 5-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Aho
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (779)
46.2% (744)
+3.4%
Power Play
49.7% (179)
44.6% (112)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
45.5% (33)
+3.3%
On power play, Staal has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Staal is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Staal shoots left. Aho is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Staal
Aho
Home
52.0% (542)
46.7% (445)
Away
46.6% (457)
45.3% (444)
By Period
Staal
Aho
P1
44.2%
48.1%
P2
50.3%
44.9%
P3
52.9%
45.8%
OT
68.8%
12.5%
Final 5 min
47.2%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
49.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 12:24 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 09:43 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |