Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Pinto 51.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 53.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Staal
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Staal
Pinto
Last 8: Staal 3-5 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Staal
Pinto
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
2
Staal
Pinto
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
52.5% (825)
-2.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
40.0% (10)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
44.4% (27)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Staal
Pinto
Home
46.1% (380)
52.8% (453)
Away
46.3% (363)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Staal
Pinto
P1
45.7%
49.0%
P2
46.2%
53.5%
P3
46.5%
53.7%
Final 5 min
47.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:22 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 12:03 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 05:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 12:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 07:59 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:04 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |