Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Matthias 49.5% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 10-3 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 81.4%
Defensive zone
Staal 61.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Staal
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
3
(13 meetings)
10
3
Staal
Matthias
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
0
Staal
Matthias
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
5
2
Staal
Matthias
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
49.4% (510)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
55.3% (38)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (136)
46.5% (43)
-0.9%
On even strength, Staal has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Staal shoots left. Matthias is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (390).
Home / Away
Staal
Matthias
Home
53.9% (825)
47.6% (315)
Away
51.1% (856)
51.4% (282)
By Period
Staal
Matthias
P1
54.8%
50.0%
P2
54.1%
51.9%
P3
48.6%
45.8%
OT
60.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 03:26 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 3 | 16:23 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |