Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Matthias 46.6% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 19-13 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 81.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 60.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 71.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 70.8%
70.8%
29.2%
Staal
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
13
(32 meetings)
19
13
Staal
Matthias
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
7
2
Staal
Matthias
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
4
6
Staal
Matthias
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
8
5
Staal
Matthias
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
46.4% (1,716)
+4.1%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
56.3% (103)
-2.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
41.7% (175)
+2.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Matthias is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,275).
Home / Away
Staal
Matthias
Home
52.6% (6,558)
46.9% (933)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
45.9% (1,069)
By Period
Staal
Matthias
P1
50.0%
47.8%
P2
51.1%
49.4%
P3
50.4%
41.6%
OT
55.2%
45.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2016 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 2 | 11:16 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 28, 2014 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 18, 2014 | 1 | 02:35 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:39 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 2 | 07:49 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2012 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 25, 2012 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 04:07 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 14:32 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 2 | 01:08 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2011 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |