Scouting Report
Sheldon Dries holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dries on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Dries 49.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 56.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 71.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 55.7%
55.7%
44.3%
Staal
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Staal
Dries
Last 6: Staal 1-5 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
3
Staal
Dries
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Dries
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dries
0
1
Staal
Dries
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
49.1% (401)
+0.5%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
55.0% (60)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
50.0% (10)
-14.6%
On power play, Dries has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Dries is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Staal
Dries
Home
46.1% (380)
54.3% (265)
Away
46.3% (363)
44.2% (206)
By Period
Staal
Dries
P1
45.7%
45.8%
P2
46.2%
54.3%
P3
46.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:00 | Neutral | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 13:54 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 3 | 01:33 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2022 | 1 | 11:42 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |