Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Crosby 52.8% (-6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 55.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 89.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Staal
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Crosby
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
3
Staal
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Staal
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
52.5% (1,443)
-2.9%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
54.7% (369)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
55.9% (34)
-20.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Crosby is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
Staal
Crosby
Home
46.1% (380)
53.0% (931)
Away
46.3% (363)
53.0% (915)
By Period
Staal
Crosby
P1
45.7%
50.3%
P2
46.2%
55.4%
P3
46.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 18:45 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 15:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 11:20 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |