Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Sestito 46.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 86.8%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 78.4%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 77.0%
77.0%
23.0%
Staal
Sestito
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Staal
Sestito
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Sestito
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Sestito
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Sestito
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Sestito
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Sestito
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
45.7% (457)
+4.8%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
55.6% (9)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
34.2% (38)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sestito shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Sestito is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Staal
Sestito
Home
52.6% (6,558)
48.0% (273)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
41.9% (234)
By Period
Staal
Sestito
P1
50.0%
42.5%
P2
51.1%
42.1%
P3
50.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Sestito
36.0%▼
44.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 14:44 | Defensive | Tim Sestito |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 5, 2014 | 2 | 18:59 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 17:13 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Tim Sestito |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 05:47 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Tim Sestito |
| Jan 1, 2011 | 2 | 17:17 | Neutral | Eric Staal |