Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.1% vs 51.5%). Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Hertl 51.4% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 67.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
Staal
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Hertl
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
3
Staal
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
2
Staal
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
51.7% (869)
-1.1%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
55.7% (176)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
44.9% (138)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Staal shoots left. Hertl is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (703).
Home / Away
Staal
Hertl
Home
52.4% (647)
51.8% (583)
Away
49.7% (610)
51.2% (600)
By Period
Staal
Hertl
P1
49.4%
52.5%
P2
53.9%
50.9%
P3
49.1%
51.0%
OT
81.8%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |