Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Hertl 54.2% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 27-13 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 73.1%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 72.9%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Staal
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
27
(40 meetings)
13
27
Staal
Hertl
Last 10: Staal 0-10 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
4
10
Staal
Hertl
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
3
6
Staal
Hertl
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
6
11
Staal
Hertl
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.8% (8,268)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
59.3% (1,975)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
46.3% (806)
-2.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
Staal
Hertl
Home
52.6% (6,558)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Staal
Hertl
P1
50.0%
53.6%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
50.4%
55.3%
OT
55.2%
46.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 18:21 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 3 | 15:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 08:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 10:22 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 1 | 02:25 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 07:50 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 17:59 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 10:20 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 2 | 01:30 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 11:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 11:05 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 1 | 00:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |