Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 40-37 in 77 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 56.7%
Defensive zone
Seguin 66.2%
Neutral zone
Seguin 55.3%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Staal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
37
(77 meetings)
40
37
Staal
Seguin
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
17
10
Staal
Seguin
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
8
18
Staal
Seguin
26 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
15
9
Staal
Seguin
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.2%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
55.9% (810)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
49.3% (762)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Seguin has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Staal
Seguin
Home
52.6% (6,558)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Staal
Seguin
P1
50.0%
52.8%
P2
51.1%
53.3%
P3
50.4%
54.7%
OT
55.2%
54.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 09:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 3 | 05:43 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 01:59 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 03:11 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 1, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 18:55 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Oct 29, 2019 | 2 | 11:06 | Defensive | Eric Staal |