Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Seguin shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Seguin 54.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Seguin 72.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.1%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.5%
Result
Tyler Seguin favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Staal
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Staal
Seguin
Last 6: Staal 3-3 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Seguin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
0
1
Staal
Seguin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Seguin
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
55.0% (713)
-5.4%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
56.7% (104)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
47.2% (53)
-11.8%
On power play, Seguin has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Seguin is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Staal
Seguin
Home
46.1% (380)
56.2% (443)
Away
46.3% (363)
53.2% (427)
By Period
Staal
Seguin
P1
45.7%
54.2%
P2
46.2%
52.9%
P3
46.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 12:01 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 18:27 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:11 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |