Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.1%). Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Rask 50.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 50.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.2%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 51.9%
51.9%
48.1%
Staal
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Staal
Rask
Last 7: Staal 2-5 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Staal
Rask
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Rask
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
Staal
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
50.0% (4,428)
+0.5%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
54.3% (363)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
35.2% (54)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Staal
Rask
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Staal
Rask
P1
50.0%
50.7%
P2
51.1%
48.9%
P3
50.4%
50.7%
OT
55.2%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 6, 2018 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 18:34 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Eric Staal |