Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 45.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 55.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 81.6%
Neutral zone
Staal 70.8%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Staal
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Staal
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
2
Staal
Trocheck
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Trocheck
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
55.0% (956)
-5.4%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
59.8% (266)
-24.8%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
56.3% (64)
-20.9%
On power play, Trocheck has a +24.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Staal is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Staal shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Staal
Trocheck
Home
46.1% (380)
57.7% (673)
Away
46.3% (363)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Staal
Trocheck
P1
45.7%
55.4%
P2
46.2%
55.6%
P3
46.5%
56.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 07:50 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 19:46 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:54 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |