Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.0% vs Karlsson 47.8% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 68.2%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 55.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 55.6%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Staal
Karlsson
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
6
1
Staal
Karlsson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Staal
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,026)
47.4% (1,012)
+3.2%
Power Play
55.0% (211)
45.6% (136)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
53.5% (86)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (870).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
52.4% (647)
47.7% (658)
Away
49.7% (610)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
49.4%
46.6%
P2
53.9%
47.2%
P3
49.1%
49.1%
OT
81.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.1%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Eric Staal |