Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 51.3%). Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Karlsson 51.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 30-16 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Karlsson 56.1%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 76.7%
Neutral zone
Karlsson 66.9%
Result
William Karlsson favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Staal
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
16
(46 meetings)
30
16
Staal
Karlsson
Last 10: Staal 5-5 Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
18
4
Staal
Karlsson
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
3
4
Staal
Karlsson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
9
8
Staal
Karlsson
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
51.8% (7,849)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
54.8% (1,048)
-1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
44.2% (1,109)
+0.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Karlsson is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (6,551).
Home / Away
Staal
Karlsson
Home
52.6% (6,558)
52.0% (5,090)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
50.5% (4,916)
By Period
Staal
Karlsson
P1
50.0%
50.3%
P2
51.1%
51.3%
P3
50.4%
52.4%
OT
55.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 19:31 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 18:45 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 04:03 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 16:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 15:53 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | William Karlsson |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:05 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | William Karlsson |