Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Gourde 48.2% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 76.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 51.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 60.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Staal
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Staal
Gourde
Last 10: Staal 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Staal
Gourde
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Gourde
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
2
Staal
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
48.4% (4,954)
+2.1%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
57.4% (376)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
39.9% (554)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Staal
Gourde
Home
52.6% (6,558)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Staal
Gourde
P1
50.0%
49.9%
P2
51.1%
47.4%
P3
50.4%
47.5%
OT
55.2%
37.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2019 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |