Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Staal wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 46.6% vs Gourde 49.7% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 85.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 64.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 72.8%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Staal
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Staal
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (565)
49.1% (847)
+0.5%
Power Play
35.0% (20)
79.5% (44)
-44.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (158)
39.5% (81)
-4.1%
On power play, Gourde has a +44.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Staal is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (475).
Staal shoots left. Gourde is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Home / Away
Staal
Gourde
Home
46.1% (380)
50.1% (491)
Away
46.3% (363)
49.3% (481)
By Period
Staal
Gourde
P1
45.7%
54.7%
P2
46.2%
45.0%
P3
46.5%
49.4%
Final 5 min
47.4%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
46.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2022 | 3 | 00:09 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Eric Staal |