Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Gourde 44.8% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 58.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 64.7%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.5%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 63.3%
63.3%
36.7%
Staal
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Staal
Gourde
Last 5: Staal 3-2 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Staal
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
0
Staal
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
2
1
Staal
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (930)
40.9% (279)
+10.1%
Power Play
54.4% (125)
58.3% (60)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (60)
36.0% (25)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Staal shoots left. Gourde is 42.6% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Staal
Gourde
Home
53.5% (561)
45.5% (189)
Away
48.9% (554)
41.1% (175)
By Period
Staal
Gourde
P1
50.1%
42.4%
P2
50.3%
48.3%
P3
53.1%
40.3%
OT
53.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:31 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 05:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |