Scouting Report
Erik Christensen holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 49.5% vs Bailey 45.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 81.8%
Defensive zone
Christensen 64.4%
Neutral zone
Christensen 81.6%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
Christensen
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Christensen
Bailey
Last 9: Christensen 8-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
1
Christensen
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
0
Christensen
Bailey
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
4
0
Christensen
Bailey
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (544)
44.2% (441)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.2% (87)
48.1% (81)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
41.7% (84)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Christensen is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (410).
Christensen shoots left. Bailey is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (386).
Home / Away
Christensen
Bailey
Home
53.1% (305)
43.1% (295)
Away
46.1% (334)
45.6% (320)
By Period
Christensen
Bailey
P1
49.0%
46.5%
P2
51.1%
45.7%
P3
48.1%
41.3%
OT
50.0%
38.5%
Final 5 min
43.7%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |