Erik Christensen vs Josh Bailey
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Erik Christensen holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Christensen on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 50.4% vs Bailey 45.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Christensen leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Christensen 80.3%
Defensive zone
Christensen 76.4%
Neutral zone
Christensen 84.3%
Result
Erik Christensen favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Christensen
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Christensen
Bailey
Last 10: Christensen 7-3 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
1
Christensen
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
3
1
Christensen
Bailey
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
5
2
Christensen
Bailey
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (799)
45.8% (1,991)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.9% (127)
48.1% (295)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
39.9% (281)
+26.8%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +26.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Christensen is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Christensen shoots left. Bailey is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,590).
Home / Away
Christensen
Bailey
Home
54.8% (478)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
46.0% (463)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Christensen
Bailey
P1
49.2%
46.5%
P2
52.2%
44.8%
P3
49.5%
44.4%
OT
62.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.4%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2011 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Nov 15, 2011 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:47 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 3 | 03:30 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 06:23 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 31, 2011 | 3 | 18:54 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 15, 2011 | 1 | 01:04 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 08:28 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 09:31 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |