Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Cole wins 37.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cole 40.4% vs Bozak 53.4% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cole 67.8%
Defensive zone
Bozak 54.0%
Neutral zone
Cole 63.3%
Result
Erik Cole favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Cole
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cole
Bozak
Last 6: Cole 2-4 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cole
2
1
Cole
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Cole
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cole
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
35.0% (120)
53.7% (9,596)
-18.7%
Power Play
40.5% (79)
55.2% (1,990)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
21.4% (14)
48.0% (1,094)
-26.6%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +26.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Cole is 37.9% vs right-shot opponents (95).
Cole shoots left. Bozak is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,417).
Home / Away
Cole
Bozak
Home
37.4% (115)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
34.3% (99)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Cole
Bozak
P1
40.8%
53.2%
P2
35.6%
52.8%
P3
29.5%
54.5%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
32.2%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cole
40.0%▲
37.0%
36.0%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 12:02 | Offensive | Erik Cole |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 02:30 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Erik Cole |