Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Haula 53.4% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 62.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 72.6%
Neutral zone
Haula 52.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Stepan
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Stepan
Haula
Last 5: Stepan 2-3 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Stepan
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Stepan
Haula
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
52.7% (734)
+1.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
71.4% (49)
-71.4%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
52.2% (23)
+12.5%
On power play, Haula has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Haula is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Stepan
Haula
Home
54.5% (222)
54.0% (404)
Away
57.2% (222)
53.7% (402)
By Period
Stepan
Haula
P1
57.5%
50.8%
P2
54.7%
55.0%
P3
55.9%
55.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2022 | 3 | 08:13 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 13:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Erik Haula |