Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Malkin 46.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 57.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 82.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 68.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 66.9%
66.9%
33.1%
Haula
Malkin
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Haula
Malkin
Last 5: Haula 3-2 Malkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Malkin
0
1
Haula
Malkin
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Malkin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
2
Haula
Malkin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Malkin
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (612)
45.5% (602)
+7.4%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
50.0% (30)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (75)
100.0% (1)
-52.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +52.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malkin shoots left. Haula is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Haula shoots left. Malkin is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (431).
Home / Away
Haula
Malkin
Home
54.2% (345)
47.5% (326)
Away
51.1% (374)
44.0% (307)
By Period
Haula
Malkin
P1
55.8%
49.3%
P2
48.0%
44.7%
P3
54.1%
42.3%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.7%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.6%
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 06:31 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Erik Haula |