Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Spezza shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Spezza 54.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 27-25 in 52 meetings
Offensive zone
Spezza 58.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 65.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 51.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Haula
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
25
(52 meetings)
27
25
Haula
Spezza
Last 10: Haula 8-2 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spezza
6
11
Haula
Spezza
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
11
4
Haula
Spezza
15 total
Neutral Zone
Even
10
10
Haula
Spezza
20 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
54.4% (7,990)
-1.5%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
56.8% (1,726)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
52.7% (643)
-9.2%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Spezza is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,310).
Home / Away
Haula
Spezza
Home
53.4% (4,478)
56.8% (5,066)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
52.7% (5,332)
By Period
Haula
Spezza
P1
53.2%
55.7%
P2
51.4%
54.4%
P3
52.7%
54.1%
OT
43.5%
51.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2022 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:21 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 6, 2021 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 16:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 27, 2020 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:29 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Nov 28, 2017 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:33 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 1 | 07:25 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 13:04 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 24, 2017 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 14, 2017 | 1 | 03:21 | Offensive | Jason Spezza |