Erik Haula vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 55.4%). Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Pageau 55.0% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 57.8%
Defensive zone
Pageau 60.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 56.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Haula
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Haula
Pageau
Last 8: Haula 5-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Pageau
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Pageau
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Haula
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
57.1% (905)
+0.5%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
55.2% (116)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
48.0% (204)
-2.5%
On power play, Pageau has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Haula
Pageau
Home
56.3% (449)
57.0% (618)
Away
53.3% (443)
53.9% (607)
By Period
Haula
Pageau
P1
58.4%
54.4%
P2
54.9%
61.0%
P3
52.0%
51.0%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 15:00 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 3 | 02:43 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 12:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Erik Haula |