Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 53.2%). Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 31 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Carter 53.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 40-34 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 53.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 57.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Haula
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
40
(74 meetings)
34
40
Haula
Carter
Last 10: Haula 3-7 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
11
5
Haula
Carter
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
11
20
Haula
Carter
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
12
15
Haula
Carter
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
53.3% (8,728)
-0.4%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
57.3% (1,554)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
46.3% (1,087)
-2.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,293).
Haula shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Haula
Carter
Home
53.4% (4,478)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Haula
Carter
P1
53.2%
53.6%
P2
51.4%
52.8%
P3
52.7%
53.1%
OT
43.5%
56.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 14:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:32 | Defensive | Erik Haula |