Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Haula wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 53.8% vs Carter 58.5% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 87.2%
Defensive zone
Haula 66.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 71.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Haula
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
9
(13 meetings)
4
9
Haula
Carter
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
6
Haula
Carter
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Haula
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (881)
59.7% (727)
-5.2%
Power Play
68.4% (57)
68.1% (72)
+0.3%
Penalty Kill
45.4% (119)
53.2% (139)
-7.8%
On penalty kill, Carter has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Haula shoots left. Carter is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (640).
Home / Away
Haula
Carter
Home
55.4% (520)
58.7% (455)
Away
53.1% (537)
60.0% (483)
By Period
Haula
Carter
P1
56.5%
61.3%
P2
53.3%
57.1%
P3
53.8%
59.8%
OT
25.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.2%
60.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 17:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 11:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:17 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 00:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 19:22 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 30, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |