Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 47.1% vs Carter 51.9% (-5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carter 90.5%
Defensive zone
Carter 61.4%
Neutral zone
Carter 85.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 81.6%
18.4%
81.6%
Haula
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
Carter
Last 5: Haula 4-1 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (296)
52.0% (471)
-4.0%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
55.3% (132)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (44)
43.9% (41)
-7.5%
On power play, Carter has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Haula is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Haula shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (476).
Home / Away
Haula
Carter
Home
45.5% (178)
53.6% (330)
Away
47.1% (170)
50.6% (314)
By Period
Haula
Carter
P1
44.6%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
55.6%
P3
47.6%
50.3%
OT
50.0%
59.1%
Final 5 min
42.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
46.3%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 31, 2014 | 1 | 02:25 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 3 | 15:15 | Offensive | Erik Haula |