Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.6% vs Kotkaniemi 48.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 55.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 57.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Haula
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (516)
47.7% (195)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.9% (58)
100.0% (2)
-43.1%
Penalty Kill
48.7% (39)
33.3% (3)
+15.4%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +43.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Haula is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (389).
Haula shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (106).
Home / Away
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Home
49.8% (321)
46.8% (126)
Away
51.7% (292)
50.0% (74)
By Period
Haula
Kotkaniemi
P1
51.8%
50.0%
P2
50.5%
47.9%
P3
49.7%
45.6%
Final 5 min
52.1%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.7%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Erik Haula |