Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 50.1% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 70.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 58.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 54.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Haula
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (704)
47.3% (207)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.4% (74)
100.0% (3)
-44.6%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (59)
33.3% (3)
+10.8%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Haula shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Home
48.6% (426)
46.5% (129)
Away
51.6% (411)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Haula
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.2%
51.3%
P2
51.5%
46.1%
P3
46.7%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Erik Haula |