Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.1%). Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Norris 52.1% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 51.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 55.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 52.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 52.9%
52.9%
47.1%
Haula
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
6
(14 meetings)
8
6
Haula
Norris
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
4
Haula
Norris
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
1
Haula
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (7,683)
52.5% (3,057)
+0.4%
Power Play
57.5% (603)
53.7% (404)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
43.5% (791)
45.4% (240)
-1.9%
On power play, Haula has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Haula is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,784).
Haula shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,392).
Home / Away
Haula
Norris
Home
53.4% (4,478)
53.1% (1,856)
Away
51.3% (4,599)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Haula
Norris
P1
53.2%
55.6%
P2
51.4%
51.4%
P3
52.7%
50.1%
OT
43.5%
40.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.4%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 18:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:33 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 02:14 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 03:20 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:20 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:25 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 13:46 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:23 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Erik Haula |